The next BOJ meeting is scheduled for September 17-18

The Bank of Japan's September 4 calendar confirms that its next Monetary Policy Meeting will take place on September 17 and 18, followed by the governor's regular press conference on September 18. The BOJ's review of fiscal 2025 monetary operations states that the target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate was raised from around 0.5% to around 0.75% at the December 2025 meeting. Compared with the long period of exceptionally low rates, Japanese real-estate participants now need to place greater weight on financing costs.

Property financing does not move one-for-one with the policy rate

The policy rate can influence variable mortgage rates and bank lending conditions, but actual property-loan rates also depend on borrower credit, property income, collateral value, loan maturity and individual bank policies. Long-term fixed mortgage rates can also respond to government-bond yields. For leveraged property investors, the spread between a property's net yield and borrowing cost is critical. If asset prices remain high while financing rates rise, leveraged returns can deteriorate even if rents remain stable.

Foreign investors also face a currency channel

For overseas investors, BOJ policy can affect returns through the yen as well as through borrowing costs. A property priced in yen can become more or less expensive in a buyer's home currency even if the Japanese price is unchanged. Cash buyers and investors using Japanese financing will therefore experience monetary tightening differently. Beyond the September rate decision itself, the BOJ's assessment of inflation, wages and economic growth will be closely watched because it can shape expectations for future financing conditions.